All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Franklin Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
164 |
131 |
1,035 |
192 |
209 |
585 |
175 |
182 |
627 |
453 |
564 |
154 |
168 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
131 |
164 |
174 |
185 |
190 |
175 |
182 |
164 |
198 |
185 |
154 |
168 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Franklin Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 13 |
Parker Mimbela |
11 |
15:52 |
15:44 |
|
15:49 |
15:58 |
|
15:45 |
16:01 |
|
|
|
15:43 |
16:05 |
| 17 |
Griffin Hennessy |
11 |
15:59 |
16:15 |
|
16:06 |
16:15 |
|
16:05 |
16:05 |
|
|
16:21 |
15:59 |
15:52 |
| 58 |
Jarret Rockwell |
11 |
16:21 |
16:13 |
|
16:11 |
16:21 |
|
16:23 |
16:28 |
|
16:48 |
|
16:18 |
16:21 |
| 73 |
Kyle Montgomery |
10 |
16:27 |
16:00 |
|
|
|
16:53 |
16:22 |
16:21 |
|
|
|
16:35 |
16:25 |
| 74 |
Raef Sauer |
12 |
16:28 |
16:19 |
|
16:43 |
16:29 |
|
16:40 |
16:36 |
|
16:35 |
|
16:19 |
16:28 |
| 161 |
Gavin Rockwell |
10 |
16:54 |
16:33 |
|
16:45 |
16:52 |
|
16:50 |
16:56 |
17:08 |
16:51 |
|
16:58 |
16:57 |
| 321 |
Levi Farmer |
11 |
17:25 |
17:11 |
|
|
17:17 |
17:35 |
17:18 |
17:20 |
17:44 |
|
17:17 |
|
17:31 |
| 403 |
Chase Ennis |
12 |
17:35 |
17:40 |
|
17:56 |
17:52 |
17:34 |
17:23 |
|
17:26 |
|
17:38 |
17:31 |
|
| 557 |
Jacob Ellis |
11 |
17:51 |
|
|
18:14 |
17:56 |
17:46 |
17:45 |
|
17:47 |
17:49 |
17:50 |
|
|
| 621 |
Brody Shadle |
12 |
17:58 |
17:41 |
17:45 |
17:39 |
18:06 |
|
17:53 |
|
18:02 |
18:36 |
17:52 |
|
|
| 641 |
Atticus Sauer |
9 |
18:00 |
18:20 |
19:32 |
17:57 |
18:01 |
|
17:46 |
|
18:05 |
17:42 |
17:58 |
|
|
| 668 |
Carter Pheifer |
10 |
18:02 |
|
19:02 |
18:20 |
18:24 |
17:33 |
17:53 |
|
17:58 |
17:38 |
18:22 |
|
|
| 709 |
Logan Combs |
11 |
18:07 |
|
|
18:37 |
18:30 |
18:04 |
17:57 |
|
17:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 860 |
Daniel Mangan |
12 |
18:20 |
|
|
18:39 |
18:02 |
17:53 |
18:16 |
|
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 913 |
Carter Wynberry |
9 |
18:24 |
|
18:37 |
18:12 |
18:23 |
18:20 |
18:12 |
|
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,190 |
Rylan Mullins |
10 |
18:46 |
|
19:19 |
|
18:32 |
18:33 |
|
|
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,253 |
Logan Buckmaster |
11 |
18:50 |
|
|
18:35 |
|
18:57 |
|
|
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,288 |
Curtis Williams |
9 |
18:54 |
|
18:39 |
18:56 |
19:15 |
18:57 |
18:43 |
|
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kazu Takeda |
9 |
19:05 |
|
|
19:07 |
19:28 |
|
19:04 |
|
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jack Bischoff |
9 |
19:08 |
|
18:57 |
19:14 |
19:15 |
19:22 |
18:58 |
|
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.6 |
168 |
6.2 |
10.5 |
13.6 |
16.6 |
19.5 |
20.2 |
8.0 |
3.1 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.6 |
87 |
13.1 |
31.3 |
42.3 |
11.0 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
17 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
17 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
14.4 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100% |
21.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
|
99.7% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100% |
59.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
79.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
74.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
60.1% |
| Raef Sauer |
100% |
74.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
58.6% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
123.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.3% |
| Levi Farmer |
100% |
164.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
5.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
9.9 |
16.9 |
20.5 |
13.9 |
9.9 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100% |
7.4 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
6.6 |
11.3 |
13.9 |
12.3 |
9.9 |
8.0 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
26.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Raef Sauer |
100% |
27.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Levi Farmer |
100% |
97.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
1.0 |
76.5 |
22.7 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100% |
1.4 |
22.5 |
72.6 |
4.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100% |
3.3 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
41.7 |
28.9 |
16.8 |
7.7 |
3.2 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
4.5 |
|
0.1 |
11.8 |
23.4 |
27.6 |
21.5 |
10.4 |
3.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Raef Sauer |
100% |
4.6 |
|
0.1 |
10.7 |
22.3 |
28.5 |
22.5 |
10.2 |
4.0 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
8.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
10.3 |
18.7 |
22.2 |
18.5 |
13.0 |
8.5 |
4.3 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Levi Farmer |
100% |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.7 |
6.0 |
10.1 |
15.6 |
21.4 |
20.7 |
10.1 |
4.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Mimbela |
1.0 |
77.8 |
21.5 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Griffin Hennessy |
1.4 |
21.4 |
74.2 |
4.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jarret Rockwell |
3.2 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
44.4 |
31.2 |
16.0 |
6.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyle Montgomery |
4.4 |
|
0.1 |
12.4 |
25.6 |
32.2 |
25.5 |
3.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Raef Sauer |
4.4 |
|
0.1 |
11.6 |
25.0 |
33.2 |
26.3 |
3.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gavin Rockwell |
7.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
3.8 |
36.6 |
26.6 |
16.7 |
9.3 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Levi Farmer |
12.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
5.8 |
10.4 |
16.7 |
21.4 |
23.5 |
10.3 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
